F1 2025 Odds: Verstappen To Join Mercedes & Norris To Fill Red Bull Seat

Avatar Thomas Wilby
May 2, 2024

Max Verstappen has been backed to leave Red Bull in favour of Mercedes, with Lando Norris lined up to replace the three-time World Champion. 

  • Verstappen priced at 2/1 to make dramatic switch across the paddock to Mercedes
  • Red Bull lining up Norris as a replacement, becoming championship favourite
  • Lewis Hamilton merely an outsider to win a title with Ferrari

F1 Odds (2025 Season Drivers)

Max Verstappen

Max Verstappen Odds Probability
To join Mercedes 2/1 33.3%
Win F1 WC with Mercedes 6/1 14.3%

Lando Norris

Lando Norris Odds Probability
To join Red Bull 5/2 28.6%
Win F1 WC with Red Bull 7/2 22.2%

Lewis Hamilton

Lewis Hamilton Odds Probability
Win F1 WC with Ferrari 14/1 6.7%

Max Verstappen 2/1 to make dramatic switch to Mercedes

Mercedes are reportedly ready to table an incredible £128m-per-year offer to Max Verstappen to make the three-time World Champion their new number one when Lewis Hamilton departs.

Following the resignation of legendary car designer Adrian Newey – who will depart Red Bull at the start of next year – alongside the ongoing controversy surrounding team principal Christian Horner, Verstappen could look elsewhere.

The Dutchman is 6/1 to win a World Championship with Mercedes, which would be the team’s first since 2020.

Red Bull lining up Lando Norris as replacement, becoming championship favourite

Lando Norris is the name Red Bull will look to replace Verstappen with in the event of his departure, with the English youngster priced at 5/2 to make the move across the paddock.

If Norris does succeed Verstappen, he would become the new drivers’ championship favourite at 7/2 and this is a prospect the 24-year-old probably can’t get enough of.

Lewis Hamilton 14/1 outsider to win World Championship with Ferrari

Hamilton’s move to The Prancing Horse becomes official at the start of next season but oddsmakers aren’t too keen on his chances of landing another world title with Ferrari.

Priced at 14/1, there is reason to believe Hamilton’s record-tying seventh drivers’ championship in 2020 with his final – and the eighth could be out of reach.

Author Thomas Wilby

Experienced in odds-compiling, Thomas has worked for a number of high-profile bookmakers in the UK and abroad. Specialities include football, entertainment and politics and providing the most up-to-date and accurate odds on the market.