Manchester United Specials: Ten Hag’s Future, 24/25 Odds & Transfers

Avatar Thomas Wilby
May 7, 2024

Our exclusive Manchester United specials reveal the status of Ten Hag’s job this week as well as looking forward to what 2024/25 could look like at Old Trafford.

  • Ten Hag backed to remain in charge for Arsenal clash but unlikely to stay on much longer
  • United 40/1 to win 2024/25 Premier League and 2/1 to collect any silverware
  • Martial, Varane, Casemiro expected to depart whilst Jean-Clair Todibo headlines new arrivals

Ten Hag favoured to stay for Arsenal (H) but dismissal expected after FA Cup final

Erik ten Hag Odds Probability
To be in charge for Arsenal (H) 1/3 75%
To be in charge for start of 24/25 season 5/1 16.7%

Erik ten Hag is walking on thin ice as United manager and the Dutchman continues to test the patience of club directors including Sir Jim Ratcliffe, who is expected to relieve Ten Hag of his duties after the FA Cup final.

The former Ajax boss is likely to stay in his role for Sunday’s match-up with Arsenal (1/3) and see it out until the end of the campaign before the club make a final decision on his future.

Priced at 5/1 to resume at the Theatre of Dreams in 2024/25, it’s safe to say the Erik ten Hag era at Old Trafford is coming to a disappointing finish.

United considered longshot to capture 2024/25 league title but on course to collect silverware

Manchester United 2024/25 Odds Probability
To win the league 40/1 2.4%
Finish in the top four 3/1 25%
Finish in the top six 5/4 44.4%
Win a trophy 2/1 33.3%
To be relegated 33/1 2.9%
Sir Jim Ratcliffe to become majority shareholder  2/1 33.3%
Glazers to sell up entirely 5/1 16.7%

The Red Devils are 40/1 to win next season’s Premier League title but they aren’t considered out of the frame in terms of silverware – priced at 2/1 to add any trophy in the 2024/25 season.

United are a 5/4 shot to finish in the top six and 3/1 to finish in the top four – and if you fancy the club to face their first relegation since the 1970s, you can get 33/1 for the Reds to drop to the Championship.

Earlier this year in February, Sir Jim Ratcliffe became a minority shareholder in the club – and the British billionaire is 2/1 to become a majority shareholder in the next campaign.

United’s current owners, the Glazer family, are one of the most scrutinised owners in world sport and the Americans are priced at 5/1 to sell up entirely after taking over in 2005.

Martial, Varane, Greenwood, Casemiro and Sancho among expected departures

Players To Leave In Summer 2024 Window  Odds Probability
Anthony Martial 1/50 98%
Raphael Varane 1/20 95.2%
Mason Greenwood 1/10 90.9%
Jonny Evans 1/8 88.9%
Casemiro 1/6 85.7%
Jadon Sancho 1/5 83.3%
Christian Eriksen 2/9 81.8%
Antony 4/7 63.6%
Harry Maguire 10/11 52.4%
Tyrell Malacia 6/4 40%
Victor Lindelof 7/4 36.4%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka 9/4 30.8%
Amad Diallo 5/2 28.6%
Scott McTominay 3/1 25%
Marcus Rashford 7/2 22.2%
Andre Onana 5/1 16.7%
Diogo Dalot 5/1 16.7%
Bruno Fernandes 6/1 14.3%
Lisandro Martinez 7/1 12.5%
Mason Mount 7/1 12.5%
Luke Shaw 8/1 11.1%
Alejandro Garnacho 12/1 7.7%
Rasmus Hojlund 16/1 5.9%
Kobbie Mainoo 20/1 4.8%
10 or more players to leave 2/5 71.4%
15 or more players to leave 1/1 50%

There are nine players considered more than likely to leave the club this summer: Anthony Martial (1/50), Raphael Varane (1/20), Mason Greenwood (1/10), Jonny Evans (1/8), Casemiro (1/6), Jadon Sancho (1/5), Christian Eriksen (2/9), Antony (4/7) and Harry Maguire (10/11).

Ratcliffe is preparing for a huge clearout which would take plenty of strain off United’s incredible wage bill every month as the 71-year-old aims to guide the club back to the pinnacle of English football.

The departures of key players such as Marcus Rashford (7/2), Bruno Fernandes (6/1), Alejandro Garnacho (12/1) and Kobbie Mainoo (20/1) are considered unlikely at this point in time as United look to retain their biggest assets.

Nice’s Jean-Clair Todibo heads United’s summer wishlist, including Olise and Gyokeres

Players To Sign In Summer 2024 Window Odds Probability
Jean-Clair Todibo 4/9 69.2%
Joselu 2/1 33.3%
Gleison Bremer 5/2 28.6%
Vitor Roque 11/4 26.7%
Gonzalo Inacio 3/1 25%
Jarrad Branthwaite 3/1 25%
Adrien Rabiot 7/2 22.2%
Denzel Dumfries 4/1 20%
Diogo Costa 4/1 20%
Michael Olise 9/2 18.2%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 5/1 16.7%
Joshua Kirzee 6/1 14.3%
Serhou Guirassy 6/1 14.3%
Christos Mandas 7/1 12.5%
Tosin Adarabioyo 9/1 10%
Viktor Gyokeres 12/1 7.7%
Eberechi Eze 14/1 6.7%
Benjamin Sesko 16/1 5.9%
Ivan Toney 25/1 3.8%
10 or more players to sign 4/6 60%
15 or more players to sign 9/4 30.8%

With plenty of outgoings on the card, United will look to add at least ten players in the upcoming summer window (4/6) – with 15 or more arrivals priced at 9/4.

Nice defender Jean-Clair Todibo is at the top of the Red Devils’ wishlist and finds himself as the sole odds-on shot to make the switch to Manchester this summer.

The Red Devils will also be out for forward depth to support Rasmus Hojlund, with Michael Olise (9/2) and Viktor Gyokeres (12/1) touted as two names to watch out for.

Author Thomas Wilby

Experienced in odds-compiling, Thomas has worked for a number of high-profile bookmakers in the UK and abroad. Specialities include football, entertainment and politics and providing the most up-to-date and accurate odds on the market.